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Central Composite Design

Parachute Deployment Dynamics

Central composite design to maximize opening reliability and minimize opening shock by tuning deployment altitude, reefing ratio, and slider size

Summary

This experiment investigates parachute deployment dynamics. Central composite design to maximize opening reliability and minimize opening shock by tuning deployment altitude, reefing ratio, and slider size.

The design varies 3 factors: deploy alt m (m), ranging from 300 to 1500, reefing pct (%), ranging from 0 to 50, and slider pct (%), ranging from 60 to 100. The goal is to optimize 2 responses: reliability pct (%) (maximize) and opening shock g (g) (minimize). Fixed conditions held constant across all runs include canopy = ram_air, load = 90kg.

A Central Composite Design (CCD) was selected to fit a full quadratic response surface model, including curvature and interaction effects. With 3 factors this produces 22 runs including center points and axial (star) points that extend beyond the factorial range.

Quadratic response surface models were fitted to capture potential curvature and factor interactions. The RSM contour plots below visualize how pairs of factors jointly affect each response.

Key Findings

For reliability pct, the most influential factors were reefing pct (57.3%), slider pct (30.2%), deploy alt m (12.5%). The best observed value was 98.7 (at deploy alt m = 1995.45, reefing pct = 25, slider pct = 80).

For opening shock g, the most influential factors were reefing pct (63.4%), deploy alt m (25.4%), slider pct (11.3%). The best observed value was 2.1 (at deploy alt m = 900, reefing pct = 70.6435, slider pct = 80).

Recommended Next Steps

Experimental Setup

Factors

FactorLowHighUnit
deploy_alt_m3001500m
reefing_pct050%
slider_pct60100%

Fixed: canopy = ram_air, load = 90kg

Responses

ResponseDirectionUnit
reliability_pct↑ maximize%
opening_shock_g↓ minimizeg

Configuration

use_cases/269_parachute_deployment/config.json
{ "metadata": { "name": "Parachute Deployment Dynamics", "description": "Central composite design to maximize opening reliability and minimize opening shock by tuning deployment altitude, reefing ratio, and slider size" }, "factors": [ { "name": "deploy_alt_m", "levels": [ "300", "1500" ], "type": "continuous", "unit": "m" }, { "name": "reefing_pct", "levels": [ "0", "50" ], "type": "continuous", "unit": "%" }, { "name": "slider_pct", "levels": [ "60", "100" ], "type": "continuous", "unit": "%" } ], "fixed_factors": { "canopy": "ram_air", "load": "90kg" }, "responses": [ { "name": "reliability_pct", "optimize": "maximize", "unit": "%" }, { "name": "opening_shock_g", "optimize": "minimize", "unit": "g" } ], "settings": { "operation": "central_composite", "test_script": "use_cases/269_parachute_deployment/sim.sh" } }

Experimental Matrix

The Central Composite Design produces 22 runs. Each row is one experiment with specific factor settings.

Rundeploy_alt_mreefing_pctslider_pct
19002580
215000100
33005060
490070.643580
59002580
6-195.4452580
79002543.4852
89002580
915005060
101995.452580
119002580
12900-20.643580
139002580
143000100
159002580
161500060
1790025116.515
18150050100
199002580
20300060
2130050100
229002580

Step-by-Step Workflow

1

Preview the design

Terminal
$ doe info --config use_cases/269_parachute_deployment/config.json
2

Generate the runner script

Terminal
$ doe generate --config use_cases/269_parachute_deployment/config.json \ --output use_cases/269_parachute_deployment/results/run.sh --seed 42
3

Execute the experiments

Terminal
$ bash use_cases/269_parachute_deployment/results/run.sh
4

Analyze results

Terminal
$ doe analyze --config use_cases/269_parachute_deployment/config.json
5

Get optimization recommendations

Terminal
$ doe optimize --config use_cases/269_parachute_deployment/config.json
6

Multi-objective optimization

With 2 competing responses, use --multi to find the best compromise via Derringer–Suich desirability.

Terminal
$ doe optimize --config use_cases/269_parachute_deployment/config.json --multi
7

Generate the HTML report

Terminal
$ doe report --config use_cases/269_parachute_deployment/config.json \ --output use_cases/269_parachute_deployment/results/report.html

Features Exercised

FeatureValue
Design typecentral_composite
Factor typescontinuous (all 3)
Arg styledouble-dash
Responses2 (reliability_pct ↑, opening_shock_g ↓)
Total runs22

Analysis Results

Generated from actual experiment runs using the DOE Helper Tool.

Response: reliability_pct

Top factors: reefing_pct (57.3%), slider_pct (30.2%), deploy_alt_m (12.5%).

ANOVA

SourceDFSSMSFp-value
SourceDFSSMSFp-value
deploy_alt_m47.48951.87240.2170.9226
reefing_pct429.68707.42170.8590.5238
slider_pct416.92704.23170.4900.7440
LackofFit247.645223.8226
PureError760.5150
Error9108.16028.6450
Total21162.26367.7268

Pareto Chart

Pareto chart for reliability_pct

Main Effects Plot

Main effects plot for reliability_pct

Normal Probability Plot of Effects

Normal probability plot for reliability_pct

Half-Normal Plot of Effects

Half-normal plot for reliability_pct

Model Diagnostics

Model diagnostics for reliability_pct

Response: opening_shock_g

Top factors: reefing_pct (63.4%), deploy_alt_m (25.4%), slider_pct (11.3%).

ANOVA

SourceDFSSMSFp-value
SourceDFSSMSFp-value
deploy_alt_m42.59090.64770.8210.5431
reefing_pct412.05673.01423.8220.0440
slider_pct40.87420.21860.2770.8855
LackofFit26.18903.0945
PureError75.5200
Error911.70900.7886
Total2127.23091.2967

Pareto Chart

Pareto chart for opening_shock_g

Main Effects Plot

Main effects plot for opening_shock_g

Normal Probability Plot of Effects

Normal probability plot for opening_shock_g

Half-Normal Plot of Effects

Half-normal plot for opening_shock_g

Model Diagnostics

Model diagnostics for opening_shock_g

Response Surface Plots

3D surfaces fitted with quadratic RSM. Red dots are observed data points.

opening shock g deploy alt m vs reefing pct

RSM surface: opening shock g deploy alt m vs reefing pct

opening shock g deploy alt m vs slider pct

RSM surface: opening shock g deploy alt m vs slider pct

opening shock g reefing pct vs slider pct

RSM surface: opening shock g reefing pct vs slider pct

reliability pct deploy alt m vs reefing pct

RSM surface: reliability pct deploy alt m vs reefing pct

reliability pct deploy alt m vs slider pct

RSM surface: reliability pct deploy alt m vs slider pct

reliability pct reefing pct vs slider pct

RSM surface: reliability pct reefing pct vs slider pct

Multi-Objective Optimization

When responses compete, Derringer–Suich desirability finds the best compromise. Each response is scaled to a 0–1 desirability, then combined via a weighted geometric mean.

Overall Desirability
D = 0.8307

Per-Response Desirability

ResponseWeightDesirabilityPredictedDir
reliability_pct 1.5
0.8685
97.53 0.8685 97.53 %
opening_shock_g 1.0
0.7771
2.98 0.7771 2.98 g

Recommended Settings

FactorValue
deploy_alt_m1500 m
reefing_pct0 %
slider_pct100 %

Source: from RSM model prediction

Trade-off Summary

Sacrifice = how much worse than single-objective best.

ResponsePredictedBest ObservedSacrifice
opening_shock_g2.982.10+0.88

Top 3 Runs by Desirability

RunDFactor Settings
#170.7911deploy_alt_m=900, reefing_pct=70.6435, slider_pct=80
#180.7843deploy_alt_m=-195.445, reefing_pct=25, slider_pct=80

Model Quality

ResponseType
opening_shock_g0.5424quadratic

Full Multi-Objective Output

doe optimize --multi
============================================================ MULTI-OBJECTIVE OPTIMIZATION Method: Derringer-Suich Desirability Function ============================================================ Overall desirability: D = 0.8307 Response Weight Desirability Predicted Direction --------------------------------------------------------------------- reliability_pct 1.5 0.8685 97.53 % ↑ opening_shock_g 1.0 0.7771 2.98 g ↓ Recommended settings: deploy_alt_m = 1500 m reefing_pct = 0 % slider_pct = 100 % (from RSM model prediction) Trade-off summary: reliability_pct: 97.53 (best observed: 98.70, sacrifice: +1.17) opening_shock_g: 2.98 (best observed: 2.10, sacrifice: +0.88) Model quality: reliability_pct: R² = 0.3567 (quadratic) opening_shock_g: R² = 0.5424 (quadratic) Top 3 observed runs by overall desirability: 1. Run #2 (D=0.8193): deploy_alt_m=1500, reefing_pct=0, slider_pct=100 2. Run #17 (D=0.7911): deploy_alt_m=900, reefing_pct=70.6435, slider_pct=80 3. Run #18 (D=0.7843): deploy_alt_m=-195.445, reefing_pct=25, slider_pct=80

Full Analysis Output

doe analyze
=== Main Effects: reliability_pct === Factor Effect Std Error % Contribution -------------------------------------------------------------- reefing_pct 5.9250 0.5926 57.3% slider_pct 3.1250 0.5926 30.2% deploy_alt_m 1.2917 0.5926 12.5% === ANOVA Table: reliability_pct === Source DF SS MS F p-value ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- deploy_alt_m 4 7.4895 1.8724 0.217 0.9226 reefing_pct 4 29.6870 7.4217 0.859 0.5238 slider_pct 4 16.9270 4.2317 0.490 0.7440 Lack of Fit 2 47.6452 23.8226 2.756 0.1310 Pure Error 7 60.5150 8.6450 Error 9 108.1602 8.6450 Total 21 162.2636 7.7268 === Summary Statistics: reliability_pct === deploy_alt_m: Level N Mean Std Min Max ------------------------------------------------------------ -195.445 1 94.3000 0.0000 94.3000 94.3000 1500 4 93.4000 1.6391 91.7000 95.4000 1995.45 1 93.2000 0.0000 93.2000 93.2000 300 4 93.1750 4.5981 86.3000 95.9000 900 12 94.4667 2.7516 89.3000 98.7000 reefing_pct: Level N Mean Std Min Max ------------------------------------------------------------ -20.6435 1 95.2000 0.0000 95.2000 95.2000 0 4 92.6750 4.2906 86.3000 95.4000 25 12 93.9417 2.4119 89.3000 98.7000 50 4 93.9000 2.1103 91.7000 95.9000 70.6435 1 98.6000 0.0000 98.6000 98.6000 slider_pct: Level N Mean Std Min Max ------------------------------------------------------------ 100 4 92.1750 4.1564 86.3000 95.9000 116.515 1 95.3000 0.0000 95.3000 95.3000 43.4852 1 94.7000 0.0000 94.7000 94.7000 60 4 94.4000 1.8129 91.7000 95.5000 80 12 94.2583 2.7576 89.3000 98.7000 === Main Effects: opening_shock_g === Factor Effect Std Error % Contribution -------------------------------------------------------------- reefing_pct 4.5000 0.2428 63.4% deploy_alt_m 1.8000 0.2428 25.4% slider_pct 0.8000 0.2428 11.3% === ANOVA Table: opening_shock_g === Source DF SS MS F p-value ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- deploy_alt_m 4 2.5909 0.6477 0.821 0.5431 reefing_pct 4 12.0567 3.0142 3.822 0.0440 slider_pct 4 0.8742 0.2186 0.277 0.8855 Lack of Fit 2 6.1890 3.0945 3.924 0.0719 Pure Error 7 5.5200 0.7886 Error 9 11.7090 0.7886 Total 21 27.2309 1.2967 === Summary Statistics: opening_shock_g === deploy_alt_m: Level N Mean Std Min Max ------------------------------------------------------------ -195.445 1 3.1000 0.0000 3.1000 3.1000 1500 4 3.8500 1.3026 3.1000 5.8000 1995.45 1 4.9000 0.0000 4.9000 4.9000 300 4 3.4750 0.7544 3.0000 4.6000 900 12 3.4250 1.2736 2.1000 6.6000 reefing_pct: Level N Mean Std Min Max ------------------------------------------------------------ -20.6435 1 2.1000 0.0000 2.1000 2.1000 0 4 3.5250 0.7228 3.1000 4.6000 25 12 3.3667 0.8659 2.2000 4.9000 50 4 3.8000 1.3367 3.0000 5.8000 70.6435 1 6.6000 0.0000 6.6000 6.6000 slider_pct: Level N Mean Std Min Max ------------------------------------------------------------ 100 4 3.5250 0.7274 3.0000 4.6000 116.515 1 3.0000 0.0000 3.0000 3.0000 43.4852 1 3.0000 0.0000 3.0000 3.0000 60 4 3.8000 1.3342 3.1000 5.8000 80 12 3.5917 1.3290 2.1000 6.6000

Optimization Recommendations

doe optimize
=== Optimization: reliability_pct === Direction: maximize Best observed run: #2 deploy_alt_m = 1995.45 reefing_pct = 25 slider_pct = 80 Value: 98.7 RSM Model (linear, R² = 0.0504, Adj R² = -0.1079): Coefficients: intercept +93.9727 deploy_alt_m +0.3957 reefing_pct -0.0258 slider_pct +0.6328 RSM Model (quadratic, R² = 0.2548, Adj R² = -0.3042): Coefficients: intercept +92.8583 deploy_alt_m +0.3957 reefing_pct -0.0258 slider_pct +0.6328 deploy_alt_m*reefing_pct +0.1875 deploy_alt_m*slider_pct -0.1875 reefing_pct*slider_pct +0.5125 deploy_alt_m^2 +1.0472 reefing_pct^2 +0.7022 slider_pct^2 -0.0778 Curvature analysis: deploy_alt_m coef=+1.0472 convex (has a minimum) reefing_pct coef=+0.7022 convex (has a minimum) slider_pct coef=-0.0778 negligible curvature Notable interactions: reefing_pct*slider_pct coef=+0.5125 (synergistic) Predicted optimum (from linear model, at observed points): deploy_alt_m = 900 reefing_pct = 25 slider_pct = 116.515 Predicted value: 95.1281 Surface optimum (via L-BFGS-B, linear model): deploy_alt_m = 1500 reefing_pct = 0 slider_pct = 100 Predicted value: 95.0270 Model quality: Weak fit — consider adding center points or using a different design. Factor importance: 1. deploy_alt_m (effect: 5.4, contribution: 43.1%) 2. slider_pct (effect: 4.7, contribution: 37.8%) 3. reefing_pct (effect: 2.4, contribution: 19.0%) === Optimization: opening_shock_g === Direction: minimize Best observed run: #17 deploy_alt_m = 900 reefing_pct = 70.6435 slider_pct = 80 Value: 2.1 RSM Model (linear, R² = 0.0975, Adj R² = -0.0529): Coefficients: intercept +3.5636 deploy_alt_m +0.3747 reefing_pct -0.1802 slider_pct -0.0901 RSM Model (quadratic, R² = 0.2417, Adj R² = -0.3269): Coefficients: intercept +4.0110 deploy_alt_m +0.3747 reefing_pct -0.1802 slider_pct -0.0901 deploy_alt_m*reefing_pct -0.0750 deploy_alt_m*slider_pct -0.2750 reefing_pct*slider_pct -0.1000 deploy_alt_m^2 -0.0837 reefing_pct^2 -0.3087 slider_pct^2 -0.2787 Curvature analysis: reefing_pct coef=-0.3087 concave (has a maximum) slider_pct coef=-0.2787 concave (has a maximum) deploy_alt_m coef=-0.0837 negligible curvature Predicted optimum (from linear model, at observed points): deploy_alt_m = 1995.45 reefing_pct = 25 slider_pct = 80 Predicted value: 4.2477 Surface optimum (via L-BFGS-B, linear model): deploy_alt_m = 300 reefing_pct = 50 slider_pct = 100 Predicted value: 2.9186 Model quality: Weak fit — consider adding center points or using a different design. Factor importance: 1. slider_pct (effect: 1.7, contribution: 36.7%) 2. reefing_pct (effect: 1.7, contribution: 36.7%) 3. deploy_alt_m (effect: 1.2, contribution: 26.6%)
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